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Rapsky-Lorsten Daily Tracking Poll

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Author Topic: Rapsky-Lorsten Daily Tracking Poll  (Read 747 times)
Libertarian Socialist
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« on: October 03, 2016, 03:37:22 pm »

This poll is taken on a seven day rolling average. There will be 50-state polls (every Friday).

9/26 - 10/2 Clinton +8.7
Clinton 47.8% (+0.3)
Trump 39.1% (-0.2)
Johnson 8.1% (=)
Stein 1.5% (=)
« Last Edit: October 04, 2016, 02:33:57 pm by Libertarian Socialist » Report Spam   Logged

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« Reply #1 on: October 04, 2016, 02:31:55 pm »

9/27 - 10/3 Clinton +9.9
Clinton 48.3% (+0.5)
Trump 38.4% (-0.7)
Johnson 7.2% (-0.9)
Stein 1.5% (=)
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« Reply #2 on: October 04, 2016, 05:08:32 pm »

You sure this poll doesn't have a house effect?
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« Reply #3 on: October 05, 2016, 04:11:32 pm »

9/28-10/4 Clinton +9.9
Clinton 48.5% (+0.2)
Trump 38.6% (+0.2)
Johnson 7.2% (=)
Stein 1.6% (+0.1)

You sure this poll doesn't have a house effect?

It's built into the formula. We need a liberal USC/LA Times poll. (The 50 state polls should be accurate, though.)
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« Reply #4 on: October 06, 2016, 05:11:11 pm »

9/29 - 10/5 Clinton +9.3
Clinton 48.0% (-0.5)
Trump 38.7% (+0.1)
Johnson 7.1% (-0.1)
Stein 1.6% (=)
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« Reply #5 on: October 06, 2016, 05:38:22 pm »

So, this is weighted on 1992 voting patterns? Tongue
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« Reply #6 on: October 06, 2016, 05:59:09 pm »

So, this is weighted on 1992 voting patterns? Tongue

It is possible that our interviewer is dyslexic and has been reading Bill instead of Hill, but we can't make any comments on the methodology. I take fake polling very seriously.
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« Reply #7 on: October 07, 2016, 01:30:24 pm »

Oh sht it's Friday and I forgot to make a poll. Sad But, I could jut make up numbers. . . though I wouldn't be that unethical, right?

The Totally 1000% Real 50 State Poll



Clinton 332

Trump 195
Tied 11

Alabama: Trump 53, Clinton 30, Johnson 6, Stein 2
Alaska: Trump 43, Clinton 37, Johnson 10, Stein 0
Arizona: Trump 44, Clinton 44, Johnson 9, Stein 1
Arkansas: Trump 53, Clinton 34, Johnson 8, Stein 1
California: Clinton 51, Trump 31, Johnson 8, Stein 1
Colorado: Clinton 46, Trump 38, Johnson 8, Stein 0
Connecticut: Clinton 51, Trump 36, Johnson 8, Stein 1
Delaware: Clinton 53, Trump 35, Johnson 8, Stein 1
District of Columbia: Clinton 69, Trump 10, Johnson 6, Stein 0
Florida: Clinton 44, Trump 43, Johnson 6, Stein 0
Georgia: Trump 45, Clinton 37, Johnson 8, Stein 0
Hawaii: Clinton 61, Trump 32, Johnson 6, Stein 0
Idaho: Trump 53, Clinton 32, Johnson 9, Stein 2
Illinois: Clinton 51, Trump 36, Johnson 7, Stein 0
Indiana: Trump 46, Clinton 39, Johnson 9, Stein 1
Iowa: Clinton 45, Trump 40, Johnson 7, Stein 1
Kansas: Trump 49, Clinton 38, Johnson 9, Stein 1
Kentucky: Trump 52, Clinton 37, Johnson 7, Stein 1
Louisiana: Trump 50, Clinton 35, Johnson 7, Stein 1
Maine: Clinton 48, Trump 37, Johnson 10, Stein 3
Maine 01: Clinton 52, Trump 35, Johnson 11, Stein 1
Maine 02: Clinton 44, Trump 39, Johnson 10, Stein 4

Maryland: Clinton 54, Trump 31, Johnson 7, Stein 0
Massachusetts: Clinton 55, Trump 32, Johnson 7, Stein 1
Michigan: Clinton 48, Trump 40, Johnson 8, Stein 0
Minnesota: Clinton 47, Trump 41, Johnson 7, Stein 1
Mississippi: Trump 49, Clinton 35, Johnson 6, Stein 1
Missouri: Trump 46, Clinton 43, Johnson 8, Stein 1
Montana: Trump 47, Clinton 38, Johnson 12, Stein 2
Nebraska: Trump 48, Clinton 32, Johnson 9, Stein 6
Nebraska 01: Trump 47, Clinton 35, Johnson 9, Stein 6
Nebraska 02: Trump 43, Clinton 40, Johnson 8, Stein 6
Nebraska 03: Trump 55, Clinton 22, Johnson 10, Stein 7
Nevada: Clinton 45, Trump 39, Johnson 9, Stein 1
New Hampshire: Clinton 46, Trump 39, Johnson 8, Stein 1
New Jersey: Clinton 51, Trump 39, Johnson 6, Stein 1
New Mexico: Clinton 46, Trump 34, Johnson 14, Stein 1
New York: Clinton 54, Trump 35, Johnson 6, Stein 1
North Carolina: Trump 43, Clinton 42, Johnson 7, Stein 0
North Dakota: Trump 53, Clinton 35, Johnson 11, Stein 0
Ohio: Clinton 44, Trump 42, Johnson 7, Stein 0
Oklahoma: Trump 56, Clinton 32, Johnson 9, Stein 1
Oregon: Clinton 50, Trump 37, Johnson 8, Stein 1
Pennsylvania: Clinton 46, Trump 41, Johnson 8, Stein 0
Rhode Island: Clinton 54, Trump 34, Johnson 7, Stein 0
South Carolina: Clinton 47, Trump 37, Johnson 8, Stein 1
South Dakota: Trump 49, Clinton 38, Johnson 8, Stein 1
Tennessee: Trump 49, Clinton 36, Johnson 7, Stein 1
Texas: Trump 46, Clinton 36, Johnson 8, Stein 1
Utah: Trump 50, Clinton 25, Johnson 10, Stein 1
Vermont: Clinton 52, Trump 27, Stein 9, Johnson 8
Virginia: Clinton 47, Trump 40, Johnson 7, Stein 1
Washington: Clinton 51, Trump 36, Jonson 8, Stein 1
West Virginia: Trump 55, Clinton 34, Johnson 8, Stein 2
Wisconsin: Clinton 47, Trump 39, Johnson 7, Stein 1
Wyoming: Trump 57, Clinton 30, Johnson 11, Stein 0
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« Reply #8 on: October 07, 2016, 01:39:11 pm »

9/30 - 10/6 Clinton +11.2
Clinton 49.5% (+1.5)
Trump 38.3% (-0.4)
Johnson 6.9% (-0.2)
Stein 1.5% (-0.1)
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« Reply #9 on: October 08, 2016, 01:06:25 pm »

10/1 - 10/7 Clinton +9.3
Clinton 47.8% (-1.7)
Trump 38.3% (=)
Johnson 6.9% (=)
Stein 1.5% (=)

The calm before the storm.
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« Reply #10 on: October 09, 2016, 05:14:50 pm »

10/8 Clinton +11.2
Clinton 48.9% (+1.1)
Trump 37.7% (-0.6)
Johnson 7.0% (+0.1)
Stein 1.5% (=)
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« Reply #11 on: October 10, 2016, 04:27:43 pm »

10/3 - 10/9 Clinton +11.0
Clinton 49.5% (+0.6)
Trump 38.5% [+0.8]
Johnson 7.0% (=)
Stein 1.3% (-0.2)
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« Reply #12 on: October 12, 2016, 06:13:36 pm »

10/4 - 10/10 Clinton +11.7
Clinton 49.2% (-0.3)
Trump 37.5% (-1.0)
Johnson 6.7% (-0.3)
Stein 1.3% (=)

10/5 - 10/11 Clinton +14.0
Clinton 50.2% (+1.0)
Trump 36.2% (-1.3)
Johnson 6.7% (=)
Stein 1.4% (+0.1)
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« Reply #13 on: October 13, 2016, 10:11:27 am »

10/5 - 10/11 Clinton +14.0
Clinton 50.2% (+1.0)
Trump 36.2% (-1.3)
Johnson 6.7% (=)
Stein 1.4% (+0.1)
Shocked
#ClintonOver50
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« Reply #14 on: October 13, 2016, 05:55:27 pm »

10/6 - 10/12 Clinton +11.5
Clinton 49.0% (-1.2)
Trump 37.5% (+1.3)
Johnson 7.1% (+0.4)
Stein 1.4% (=)
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« Reply #15 on: October 13, 2016, 05:58:20 pm »

This poll does not include Egg McMuffins Evan McMullin, it is joke
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« Reply #16 on: October 14, 2016, 06:48:57 pm »

10/7 - 10/13 Clinton +12.7
Clinton 49.4% (+0.4)
Trump 36.7% [-0.8]
Johnson 6.5% (-0.6)
Stein 1.5% (+0.1)
McMullin 0.6% (+0.6)

Oh well. No 50-state poll today. Tomorrow I guess.
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« Reply #17 on: October 14, 2016, 08:18:24 pm »

Okay, I lied. I did do a 50-state poll. (From 10/7 - 10/13.)


Clinton 347 (+15)
Trump 191 (-4)

Alabama: Trump 54, Clinton 36, Johnson 5, Stein 2
Alaska: Trump 39, Clinton 31, Johnson 14, Stein 5
Arizona: Trump 41, Clinton 40, Johnson 8, Stein 1
Arkansas: Trump 52, Clinton 34, Johnson 6, Stein 2
California: Clinton 54, Trump 30, Johnson 7, Stein 5
Colorado: Clinton 44, Trump 36, Johnson 9, Stein 3
Connecticut: Clinton 48, Trump 31, Johnson 8, Stein 4
Delaware: Clinton 49, Trump 32, Johnson 8, Stein 3
District of Columbia: Clinton 77, Trump 9, Johnson 7, Stein 4
Florida: Clinton 45, Trump 41, Johnson 5, Stein 2
Georgia: Trump 46, Clinton 43, Johnson 6, Stein 0
Hawaii: Clinton 57, Trump 19, Stein 8, Johnson 7
Idaho: Trump 48, Clinton 29, Johnson 13, Stein 3
Illinois: Clinton 50, Trump 36, Johnson 6, Stein 3
Indiana: Trump 44, Clinton 40, Johnson 11, Stein 1
Iowa: Clinton 42, Trump 37, Johnson 9, Stein 2
Kansas: Trump 46, Clinton 33, Johnson 9, Stein 2
Kentucky: Trump 51, Clinton 35, Johnson 6, Stein 3
Louisiana: Trump 47, Clinton 37, Johnson 7, Stein 3
Maine: Clinton 45, Trump 33, Johnson 9, Stein 3
     01: Clinton 51, Trump 31, Johnson 8, Stein 4
     02: Clinton 40, Trump 35, Johnson 10, Stein 2
Maryland: Clinton 58, Trump 28, Johnson 5, Stein 3
Massachusetts: Clinton 53, Trump 29, Johnson 7, Stein 3
Michigan: Clinton 45, Trump 34, Johnson 9, Stein 3
Minnesota: Clinton 44, Trump 35, Johnson 7, Stein 3
Mississippi: Trump 49, Clinton 41, Johnson 3, Stein 1
Missouri: Trump 45, Clinton 40, Johnson 6, Stein 3
Montana: Trump 44, Clinton 38, Johnson 12, Stein 4
Nebraska: Trump 49, Clinton 33, Johnson 10, Stein 3
     01: Trump 45, Clinton 35, Johnson 9, Stein 3
     02: Trump 40, Clinton 38, Johnson 8, Stein 4
     03: Trump 59, Clinton 28, Johnson 12, Stein 1
Nevada: Clinton 46, Trump 37, Johnson 8, Stein 1
New Hampshire: Clinton 45, Trump 37, Johnson 9, Stein 4
New Jersey: Clinton 49, Trump 34, Johnson 6, Stein 2
New Mexico: Clinton 43, Trump 31, Johnson 20, Stein 3
New York: Clinton 53, Trump 27, Johnson 8, Stein 4
North Carolina: Clinton 44, Trump 41, Stein 0
North Dakota: Trump 47, Clinton 32, Johnson 11, Stein 1
Ohio: Clinton 43, Trump 40, Johnson 6, Stein 2
Oklahoma: Trump 52, Clinton 29, Johnson 8, Stein 2
Oregon: Clinton 46, Trump 30, Johnson 8, Stein 4
Pennsylvania: Clinton 47, Trump 38, Johnson 5, Stein 2
Rhode Island: Clinton 51, Trump 28, Johnson 7, Stein 6
South Carolina: Trump 47, Clinton 41, Johnson 5, Stein 1
South Dakota: Trump 43, Clinton 33, Johnson 15, Stein 3
Tennessee: Trump 47, Clinton 33, Johnson 11, Stein 3
Texas: Trump 44, Clinton 39, Johnson 6, Stein 3
Utah: Trump 39, Clinton 22, McMullin 22, Jonson 12, Stein 0
Vermont: Clinton 53, Trump 23, Johnson 11, Stein 9
Virginia: Clinton 44, Trump 36, Johnson 8, Stein 1
Washington: Clinton 48, Trump 31, Johnson 9, Stein 5
West Virginia: Trump 50, Clinton 31, Johnson 7, Stein 4
Wisconsin: Clinton 45, Trump 36, Johnson 7, Stein 2
Wyoming: Trump 55, Clinton 28, Johnson 12, Stein 3
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« Reply #18 on: October 15, 2016, 06:13:21 pm »

10/8 - 10/14 Clinton +11.2
Clinton 48.9% (-0.5)
Trump 37.7% (+1.0)
Johnson 6.4% (-0.1)
Stein 1.5% (=)
McMuffin 0.5% (-0.1)
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« Reply #19 on: October 16, 2016, 06:13:22 pm »

10/9 - 10/15 Clinton +11.1
Clinton 48.9% (=)
Trump 37.8% (+0.1)
Johnson 6.3% (-0.1)
Stein 1.4% (-0.1)
McMullin 0.3% (-0.2)
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« Reply #20 on: October 17, 2016, 07:19:30 pm »

10/10 - 10/16 Clinton +10.4
Clinton 48.4% (-0.5)
Trump 38.0% (+0.2)
Johnson 6.5% (+0.2)
Stein 1.3% (-0.1)
McMullin 0.8% (+0.5)
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« Reply #21 on: October 18, 2016, 05:15:13 pm »

10/11 - 10/17
Clinton 49.0% (+0.6)
Trump 37.1% (-0.9)
Johnson 6.7% (+0.2)
Stein 1.3% (=)
McMullin 0.7% (-0.1)
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If Trump wins, there is really nothing we can do. But Second Amendment people, on the other hand, could stop him.
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« Reply #22 on: October 19, 2016, 06:36:44 pm »

10/12 - 10/18
Clinton 52.4% (+3.4)
Trump 35.5% (-1.6)
Johnson 6.5% (-0.2)
McMullin 1.5% [+0.8]
Stein 1.4% (+0.1)

McMullin moves up from 5th place to 4th place, in a shocking development. Stein drops to last. At this rate, McMuffins may overtake Johnson by Election Day. And then voters will be shocked to learn that the TRUE CONSERVATIVETM isn't on the ballot.

Should I also include Castle?
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« Reply #23 on: October 22, 2016, 07:52:59 pm »

10/13 - 10/19 Clinton +13.2
Clinton 50.7% (-1.7)
Trump 37.5% (+2.0)
Johnson 6.6% (+0.1)
Stein 1.5% (+0.1)
McMullin 1.4% (-0.1)

10/14 - 10/20 Clinton +14.0
Clinton 51.1% (+0.4)
Trump 37.1% (-0.4)
Johnson 6.2% (-0.4)
Stein 1.5% (=)
McMullin 1.5% (+0.1)

10/15 - 10/21 Clinton +14.0
Clinton 51.3% (+0.2)
Trump 37.2% (+0.1)
Johnson 6.2% (=)
Stein 1.5% (=)
McMullin 1.4% (-0.1)
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