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PredictIt and BetFair odds

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LLR
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« on: October 04, 2016, 07:51:27 am »

BetFair Odds (10/4): The Presidency

Hillary 73.3%
Donald 24.7%
Jill 0.2%
Crooked Gary 0.1%

Electoral votes: 323-215

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pebs
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« Reply #1 on: October 04, 2016, 03:56:32 pm »

Electoral votes: 323-215
This really threw me for a loop. I thought blue was trump and red was Clinton. Tongue
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pebs
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« Reply #2 on: October 04, 2016, 05:10:35 pm »

PredictIt as of October 4th:
President:
Clinton 73
Trump 27
Biden 2
Sanders 2

Vice President:
Kaine 73
Pence 28
Electoral College:
400-538 8
380-399 6
360-379 13
340-359 24
320-339 25
300-319 14
280-299 12
1-279 7
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LLR
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« Reply #3 on: October 04, 2016, 05:15:29 pm »


Sanders 2



F*cking BernieBros! Didn't know write-in votes from Vermont were enough to earn 270 EVs, though Tongue
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pebs
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« Reply #4 on: October 04, 2016, 05:58:48 pm »


Sanders 2



F*cking BernieBros! Didn't know write-in votes from Vermont were enough to earn 270 EVs, though Tongue
Megacoattails. The answer to your question is megacoattails.
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pebs
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« Reply #5 on: October 05, 2016, 06:41:21 pm »

PredictIt as of October 4th:
President:
Clinton 72 (▼1)
Trump 28 (▲1)
Sanders 3 (▲1)
Biden 2 (-)

Vice President:
Kaine 73 (-)
Pence 29 (▲1)
Electoral College:
400-538 7 (▼1)
380-399 6 (-)
360-379 12 (▼1)
340-359 27 (▲3)
320-339 28 (▲3)
300-319 15 (▲1)
280-299 13 (▲1)
1-279 9 (▲2)
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pebs
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« Reply #6 on: October 06, 2016, 08:09:16 pm »

PredictIt as of October 6th:
President:
Clinton 73 (▲1)
Trump 29 (▲1)
Sanders 3 (-)
Biden 2 (-)

Vice President:
Kaine 75 (▲2)
Pence 25 (▼4)
Electoral College:
400-538 6 (▼1)
380-399 6 (-)
360-379 11 (▼1)
340-359 28 (▲1)
320-339 27 (▼1)
300-319 15 (-)
280-299 13 (-)
1-279 7 (▼2)
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pebs
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« Reply #7 on: October 08, 2016, 06:40:24 pm »

PredictIt as of October 8th:
President:
Clinton 81 (▲8)
Trump 17 (▼12)
Pence 5

Biden 2 (-)
Sanders 2 (▼1)

Vice President:
Kaine 83 (▲8)
Pence 18 (▼7)
Electoral College:
400-538 19 (▲13)
380-399 13 (▲7)
360-379 17 (▲6)
340-359 30 (▲2)
320-339 13 (▼13)
300-319 7 (▼8)
280-299 7 (▼6)
1-279 5 (▼2)
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pebs
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« Reply #8 on: October 09, 2016, 10:09:55 pm »

PredictIt as of October 9th:
President:
Clinton 76 (▼5)
Trump 24 (▲7)
Pence 2 (▼3)

Sanders 2 (-)
Vice President:
Kaine 78 (▼5)
Pence 24 (▲6)
Electoral College:
400-538 17 (▼2)
380-399 13 (-)
360-379 17 (-)
340-359 28 (▼2)
320-339 16 (▲3)
300-319 11 (▲4)
280-299 9 (▲1)
1-279 6 (▲1)
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LLR
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« Reply #9 on: October 10, 2016, 07:16:16 am »

What the hell... The debate wasn't that good for him....?
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pebs
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« Reply #10 on: October 10, 2016, 03:16:44 pm »

Well, regardless, as of October 10th, she's bounced back in terms of probability.
President:
Clinton 83 (▲7)
Trump 20 (▼4)
Pence 2 (-)

Vice President:
Kaine 83 (▲5)
Pence 18 (▼6)
Electoral College:
400-538 14 (▼3)
380-399 10 (▼3)
360-379 17 (-)
340-359 31 (▲3)
320-339 14 (▼2)
300-319 9 (▼2)
280-299 7 (▼2)
1-279 5 (▼1)
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pebs
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« Reply #11 on: October 12, 2016, 11:38:42 am »

October 12
27 days until November 8
President:
Clinton 83 (-)
Trump 18 (▼2)
Vice President:
Kaine 84 (▲1)
Pence 18 (-)
Electoral College:
400-538 14 (▼3)
380-399 10 (▲1)
360-379 19 (▲2)
340-359 33 (▲2)
320-339 15 (▲1)
300-319 9 (-)
280-299 6 (▼1)
1-279 6 (▼1)
EDIT: It is a Wednesday, not a Thursday.
« Last Edit: October 12, 2016, 06:00:38 pm by pebs » Report Spam   Logged
pebs
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« Reply #12 on: October 13, 2016, 08:48:15 pm »

October 13
26 days until November 8
President:
Clinton 83 (-)
Trump 18 (-)
Pence 2

Vice President:
Kaine 82 (▼2)
Pence 19 (▲1)
Electoral College:
400-538 15 (▲1)
380-399 11 (▲1)
360-379 18 (▼1)
340-359 32 (▼1)
320-339 14 (▼1)
300-319 8 (▼1)
280-299 6 (-)
1-279 4 (▼2)
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pebs
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« Reply #13 on: October 15, 2016, 09:06:10 am »

October 15
24 days until November 8
President:
Clinton 83 (-)
Trump 19 (▲1)
Biden 2
Pence 2 (-)
Vice President:
Kaine 83 (▲1)
Pence 20 (▲1)
Electoral College:
400-538 15 (-)
380-399 11 (-)
360-379 19 (▲1)
340-359 34 (▲2)
320-339 13 (▼1)
300-319 10 (▲2)
280-299 5 (▼1)
1-279 4 (-)
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pebs
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« Reply #14 on: October 16, 2016, 05:10:20 pm »

October 16
23 days until November 8
President:
Clinton 80 (▼3)
Trump 20 (▲1)
Pence 2 (-)
Vice President:
Kaine 82 (▼1)
Pence 23 (▲3)
Electoral College:
400-538 13 (▼2)
380-399 10 (▼1)
360-379 16 (▼3)
340-359 36 (▲2)
320-339 17 (▲4)
300-319 10 (-)
280-299 8 (▲3)
1-279 6 (▲2)
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pebs
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« Reply #15 on: October 18, 2016, 06:04:36 pm »

October 18
21 days until November 8
President:
Clinton 82 (▲2)
Trump 20 (-)
Pence 2 (-)
Vice President:
Kaine 82 (-)
Pence 21 (▼2)
Electoral College:
400-538 12 (▼1)
380-399 10 (-)
360-379 16 (-)
340-359 39 (▲3)
320-339 17 (-)
300-319 7 (▼3)
280-299 7 (▼1)
1-279 6 (-)
Senate (GOP seats)
53-64 4
52 8
51 14
50 21
30-49 64
House (GOP seats)
251-435 2
241-250 4
231-240 40
218-230 39
0-217 20
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« Reply #16 on: October 19, 2016, 08:12:30 pm »

October 19
20 days until November 8
LAST RODEO before debate
President:
Clinton 81 (▼1)
Trump 22 (▲2)
Sanders 2
Vice President:
Kaine 80 (▼2)
Pence 21 (-)
Electoral College:
400-538 13 (▲1)
380-399 10 (-)
360-379 19 (▲3)
340-359 36 (▼3)
320-339 13 (▼4)
300-319 8 (▲1)
280-299 7 (-)
1-279 6 (-)
Senate (GOP seats)
53-64 4 (-)
52 8 (-)
51 14 (-)
50 21 (-)
30-49 60 (▼4)
House (GOP seats)
251-435 3 (▲1)
241-250 5 (▲1)
231-240 39 (▼1)
218-230 44 (▲5)
0-217 19 (▼1)
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« Reply #17 on: October 20, 2016, 08:54:11 pm »

October 20
19 days until November 8
President:
Clinton 83 (▲2)
Trump 19 (▼3)
Vice President:
Kaine 84 (▲4)
Pence 18 (▼3)
Electoral College:
400-538 12 (▼1)
380-399 10 (-)
360-379 18 (▼1)
340-359 36 (-)
320-339 15 (▲2)
300-319 8 (-)
280-299 6 (▼1)
1-279 7 (▲1)
Senate (GOP seats)
53-64 3 (▼1)
52 7 (▼1)
51 14 (-)
50 20 (▼1)
30-49 64 (▲4)
House (GOP seats)
251-435 2 (▼1)
241-250 3 (▼2)
231-240 39 (-)
218-230 44 (-)
0-217 20 (▲1)
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« Reply #18 on: October 21, 2016, 07:35:37 pm »

October 21
18 days until November 8
President:
Clinton 82 (▼1)
Trump 21 (▲2)
Vice President:
Kaine 83 (▼1)
Pence 20 (▲2)
Electoral College:
400-538 12 (-)
380-399 11 (▲1)
360-379 20 (▲2)
340-359 37 (▲1)
320-339 16 (▲1)
300-319 9 (▲1)
280-299 7 (▲1)
1-279 6 (▼1)
Senate (GOP seats)
53-64 4 (▲1)
52 6 (▼1)
51 13 (▼1)
50 20 (-)
30-49 67 (▲3)
House (GOP seats)
251-435 2 (-)
241-250 5 (▲2)
231-240 36 (▼3)
218-230 47 (▲3)
0-217 20 (-)
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« Reply #19 on: October 23, 2016, 09:01:04 pm »

October 23
16 days until November 8
President:
Clinton 81 (▼1)
Trump 21 (-)
Sanders 2
Vice President:
Kaine 81 (▼2)
Pence 23 (▲3)
Electoral College:
400-538 12 (-)
380-399 10 (▼1)
360-379 18 (▼2)
340-359 35 (▼2)
320-339 18 (▲2)
300-319 9 (-)
280-299 7 (-)
1-279 7 (▲1)
Senate (GOP seats)
53-64 4 (-)
52 6 (-)
51 11 (▼2)
50 19 (▼1)
30-49 68 (▲1)
House (GOP seats)
251-435 2 (-)
241-250 4 (▼1)
231-240 36 (-)
218-230 45 (▼2)
0-217 20 (-)
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« Reply #20 on: October 25, 2016, 08:02:22 pm »

October 25
14 days until November 8
President:
Clinton 82 (▲1)
Trump 19 (▼2)
Sanders 2 (-)
Vice President:
Kaine 84 (▲3)
Pence 20 (▼3)
Electoral College:
400-538 10 (▼2)
380-399 9 (▼1)
360-379 18 (-)
340-359 36 (▲1)
320-339 18 (-)
300-319 9 (-)
280-299 8 (▲1)
1-279 8 (▲1)
Senate (GOP seats)
53-64 4 (-)
52 6 (-)
51 11 (-)
50 19 (-)
30-49 68 (▼1)
House (GOP seats)
251-435 2 (-)
241-250 3 (▼1)
231-240 36 (-)
218-230 47 (▲2)
0-217 18 (▼2)
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« Reply #21 on: October 26, 2016, 09:06:22 pm »

October 26
13 days until November 8
President:
Clinton 81 (▼1)
Trump 21 (▲2)
Vice President:
Kaine 80 (▼4)
Pence 23 (▲3)
Electoral College:
400-538 10 (-)
380-399 7 (▼2)
360-379 14 (▼4)
340-359 34 (▼2)
320-339 21 (▲3)
300-319 11 (▲2)
280-299 13 (▲5)
1-279 8 (-)
Senate (GOP seats)
53-64 6 (▲2)
52 7 (▲1)
51 13 (▲2)
50 20 (▲1)
30-49 61 (▼7)
House (GOP seats)
251-435 2 (-)
241-250 3 (-)
231-240 35 (▼1)
218-230 47 (-)
0-217 14 (▼4)
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« Reply #22 on: October 29, 2016, 07:29:24 pm »

October 29
10 days until November 8
President:
Clinton 74 (▼7)
Trump 28 (▲7)
Sanders 2
Vice President:
Kaine 73 (▼7)
Pence 29 (▲6)
Electoral College:
400-538 6 (▼4)
380-399 5 (▼2)
360-379 11 (▼3)
340-359 22 (▼12)
320-339 27 (▲6)
300-319 17 (▲6)
280-299 17 (▲4)
1-279 13 (▲5)
Senate (GOP seats)
53-64 9 (▲3)
52 10 (▲3)
51 16 (▲3)
50 20 (-)
30-49 54 (▼7)
House (GOP seats)
251-435 3 (▲1)
241-250 4 (▲1)
231-240 42 (▲7)
218-230 47 (-)
0-217 10 (▼4)
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